The Prospectus and Structured Listening

Week 6 · Chapters 6 and 7 · MC 501 Research Methods for Mass Communications

Dr. Alex Leith

Today’s Agenda

  • From a question to a one-page plan
  • Defending the number of cases
  • Structured listening, and why it comes first
  • Field notes a codebook can be built from

Tonight

Week 6 · Chapters 6 and 7

  • Two things happen tonight
    • Your question becomes a one-page plan
    • The plan carries a defended number
  • Then we watch Twitch on purpose
    • Everything you code comes from what you notice
    • A coder who has never watched cannot see it
  • Due tonight: Topic Selection and Research Questions

The Paralysis

  • The symptom: thirty articles, notes everywhere
    • The project feels too small and too large at once
    • A shortage of focus rather than of ideas
  • A prospectus is roughly one page
    • The topic, the reason, the method
    • Cannot state it on one page, cannot begin it

Two Questions

  • A: “How does livestreaming affect people?”
  • B: “Does the rate of chat messages per viewer differ between gaming and non-gaming streams?”
  • Why B is workable
    • A is a career-spanning program in disguise
    • B names the measure, the comparison, the evidence

What a Strong Question Does

  • Specific and measurable
    • Names the platform, outcome, and bounded population
    • Survives operationalization into something observable
    • “Authentic streamers, better communities” cannot start
  • Answerable and open
    • Decades of data is not a semester project
    • Your Chapter 4 search is what shows it is open
  • It matters: Tuesday against Thursday is trivia

The Narrowing Funnel

  1. “I am interested in Twitch chat.” Too broad. What aspect? Which streams?
  2. “How viewers participate in chat.” Better, still vast.
  3. “Whether chat participation differs across kinds of streams.” Which kinds? Measured how?

The Narrowing Funnel (cont.)

  1. “Whether chat message volume differs between gaming and non-gaming streams.”
  2. “Draw a stratified sample from the 50-channel working corpus, code each message as directed at the streamer or broadcast to the room, and test whether the proportion of directed messages differs between gaming and non-gaming streams.”

Version 5 fits a semester. It answers something rather than everything.

Three Ways Narrowing Fails

  • Impossible comparison: viewers against non-viewers
    • The groups differ in many ways besides yours
  • Circular question: popular because people watch
    • It defines its terms in a loop
  • False binary: “is it the streamer or the game?”
    • Ask how much each contributes, and whether they interact

Choosing an Operationalization

Parasocial relationship (Horton & Wohl, 1956) is not directly observable.

  • Self-report scale: captures subjective experience
    • Invites social desirability bias
  • Behavioral indicators: donations, subscriptions, hours watched
    • More reliable, and a behavior may not reflect the bond
  • Language analysis: code what viewers write
    • Naturalistic, labor-intensive, blind to those who never post

There is no right answer. You defend the proxy you chose.

Three Research Goals

  • Exploratory: “what is going on here?”
    • Generates hypotheses, and its output is patterns
  • Descriptive: “what does the landscape look like?”
    • Output is frequencies and prevalence
  • Explanatory: “why does this happen?”
    • Hypothesis-driven, output is support or disconfirmation

Research on a topic tends to move through these in order. You need not do all three, and you must know which one you are attempting.

Question, Hypothesis, Null

  • Research question: interrogative and open
    • Use it when exploring, or when the literature conflicts
  • Hypothesis: declarative and predictive
    • Use it when theory or prior work points somewhere
  • The null sits behind every hypothesis
    • No relationship, no difference
    • It is what a test evaluates, and the sacred flaw again

Defending the Number

  • Statistical power: the chance of detecting a real effect
    • At 50% power it is a coin flip
  • The conventional minimum is 80%
    • Below it a significant result is less credible
    • Underpowered studies inflate positives and overestimate effects
  • In your prospectus the number is defended, not asserted

Lakens on the Convention

“the default recommendation to aim for 80% power lacks a solid justification.”

Lakens (2022, p. 6)

  • 80% is a convention, not a derived optimum
  • Resource constraint is a last resort for Lakens
  • Which sets up tonight’s argument

Computing the Required n

Take an effect size from your Chapter 4 reading, set α = .05, and ask:

library(pwr)
# Two-group t-test, medium effect (d = 0.5), 80% power
pwr.t.test(d = 0.5, sig.level = 0.05, power = 0.80, type = "two.sample")

You should see n = 64 per group. That number, with the reasoning that produced it, is the sampling-plan justification your method section carries.

Justified, Not Conventional

Lakens (2022)

“the default recommendation to aim for 80% power lacks a solid justification.”

Lakens (2022, p. 6)

  • What would justify a target for your study?
  • He ranks resource constraints last. Fair?
  • One coder, one semester: where does that leave you?

Topic, Theory, and Data

  • Topic is bounded by population, time, or medium
    • “Livestreaming” is not a topic
    • “Chat participation in the 50-channel corpus” is
  • Theory must predict patterns your data could show
  • Data must be accessible, sufficient, and appropriate

Misaligned: a parasocial topic with political-economy theory. One explains industry structure, the other is individual expression.

Six Components

  1. A descriptive title hinting at the key variables
  2. One to three focused questions or hypotheses, not ten
  3. A theoretical framework, two to three sentences, naming the theory

Six Components (cont.)

  1. A gap statement, two to three sentences, citing a few key sources
  2. A method overview, three to four sentences: data, coding, number of cases
  3. An expected contribution, one to two sentences

Roughly 250 words. One page, with every sentence carrying weight.

Model Prospectus, Question and Frame

Research question. Does the proportion of chat messages directed at the streamer differ between streams in gaming categories and streams in non-gaming categories, among the 50 channels in the Twitch working corpus?

Theoretical framework. Uses and gratifications theory (Katz, Blumler, & Gurevitch, 1973) holds that audiences actively select media to satisfy specific needs, including social ones.

Model Prospectus, the Method

  • Sample: 1,500 messages, stratified
    • Balanced across gaming and non-gaming streams
    • Each message is the unit of analysis
  • Coding and reliability: three codes, one check
    • Directed, broadcast, or unclassifiable
    • Second coder on a 10 percent subsample, Krippendorff’s alpha
  • Contribution: does a survey finding leave a coded trace?

Prospectus as Pre-Registration

  • Pre-registration commits the plan before the data
    • Hypotheses, methods, and analysis plan, publicly
    • The Open Science Framework timestamps it
  • Without a fixed plan, the choices drift
    • Adjust until a result reaches significance (Simmons et al., 2011)
    • The source of researcher degrees of freedom
  • Your prospectus is an informal pre-registration

What a Coder Cannot See

Chapter 7

  • The vocabulary is invisible from outside
    • “LULW” reads as a typo rather than laughter
    • Thirty identical messages are copypasta, not noise
    • “@sodapoppin same” may be agreement or a stock reply
  • The scheme still sorts everything confidently
    • The buckets do not mean what you think
  • The alternative is thick description (Geertz, 1973)

Three Modes of Attention

  • Casual watching: exposure across the platform
    • No notes and no coding
    • You replace your assumptions with actual exposure
  • Focused watching: one dimension at a time
    • Chat behavior, viewer trajectories, host moves
    • Brief notes after each pass

Three Modes of Attention (cont.)

  • Analytical watching: pattern recognition across more streams
    • What recurs, and what clusters with what
    • What resists description entirely

Familiarize, then focus, then analyze. The sequence holds for any medium.

Field Notes, Four Kinds

  • Observational: what you saw
    • “Chat moved in bursts, a flood at every question”
  • Methodological: a measurement problem
    • “A coder reading the log cannot see the question”
  • Theoretical and comparative: framework, then difference
    • An observation connected to something you have read
    • “Gaming and non-gaming chat are not the same object”

One dated plain-text document, with a note every fifteen or twenty minutes.

Watching This Week

  • Two streams at minimum, one gaming and one not
    • At least thirty minutes each
    • Pick different audience sizes on purpose
    • A 200-viewer and a 20,000-viewer chat differ
  • First pass is casual
    • Do not code, and resist deciding what matters

Watching This Week (cont.)

  • Second pass, watch chat only
    • Note what you cannot explain
  • Bring the confusing bits to Week 7
    • Those are where codebooks come from

Before Week 7

  • Read Chapter 7 in full, and Chapter 8
    • “From vibes to variables”
    • The assigned article: Hayes & Krippendorff (2007)
  • Due next week: the Research Proposal
    • A structured sentence outline
  • Write a journal entry, 450 to 500 words
    • Engage both the chapters and the reading
  • Begin your structured listening log now

Questions?